对外开放门槛与服务业的外溢效应——基于省际面板数据的实证检验

本文利用面板门槛回归模型,以对外开放程度作为门槛变量,探讨在不同发展阶段服务业发展水平同国民经济发展效率之间的相关性.结果发现,提高服务业就业比重能够产生稳健的外溢效用,其背后的渠道包括适应居民消费结构升级、提供就业岗位、与工农业形成互动等方面.在服务业发挥外溢效应过程中,对外开放起着显著的调节作用,而且发展对外贸易和利用外资对服务业发挥外溢效应的调节功能存在显著差别.

Threshold of Opening Up and Spillover Effect of Service Sectors- an Empirical Research Based on Inter-provincial Panel Data

This paper investigates the relevance of the share of service sectors employment and the national economy efficiency based on the threshold regression model and applies the degree of opening up as threshold variable.The results indicate that increasing the proportion of service sectors employment can produce sound spillover effects by upgrading of the consumer structure,providing employment opportunities and interacting with industry and agriculture.In the course of service sectors'spillover effects,the ope...