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Monetary policy and stock valuation: structural VAR identification and size effects
Authors:Alexandros Kontonikas  Zivile Zekaite
Affiliation:1. Essex Business School, Finance Subject Group, University of Essex, Colchester, UKa.kontonikas@essex.ac.uk;3. Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
Abstract:This paper examines the relationship between the US monetary policy and stock valuation using a structural VAR framework that allows for the simultaneous interaction between the federal funds rate and stock market developments based on the assumption of long-run monetary neutrality. The results confirm a strong, negative and significant monetary policy tightening effect on real stock prices. Furthermore, we provide evidence consistent with a delayed response of small stocks to monetary policy shocks relative to large stocks.
Keywords:Monetary policy  Stock market  Size effect  SVAR
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