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建筑产品价格探讨
引用本文:尚梅,周明.建筑产品价格探讨[J].基建优化,2004,25(2):24-26.
作者姓名:尚梅  周明
作者单位:1. 西安建筑科技大学,西安,710054
2. 中铁十八局集团,天津,072750
摘    要:建筑产品价格的变动趋势影响业主、承包商、金融机构及其他相关利益团体的投资决策,随着我国加入WTO及建筑业与世界接轨,计划经济时期以行政命令方式决定建筑产品价格、计划经济向市场经济转变时期依据统一定额和费率决定建筑产品价格的模式已不适应市场经济的发展了,西方市场经济国家成熟的无底招标模式在我国的应用也正在探索之中。为了正确理解建筑产品价格并进一步为建筑产品价格的预测奠定一定的基础,结合我国建筑业的实际,探讨建筑产品价格的特点、不同经济时期建筑产品价格形成的模式以及建筑产品价格运动的规律,并初步探讨了可能影响建筑产品价格的宏观经济变量。

关 键 词:建筑产品  承包商  金融机构  宏观经济  无底招标模式
文章编号:1000-7717(2004)02-0024-03
修稿时间:2004年1月20日

Analysis on Macro- Economic Leading Indicators of Construction Prices
SHANG Mei,ZHOU Ming.Analysis on Macro- Economic Leading Indicators of Construction Prices[J].Optimization of Capital Construction,2004,25(2):24-26.
Authors:SHANG Mei  ZHOU Ming
Institution:SHANG Mei~1,ZHOU Ming~2
Abstract:An understanding of future trends in construction prices is likely to influence the construction investment strategy of a variety of interested parties, ranging from owner to construction contractors, property speculators, financial institutions and other relating parties. With our country entering into WTO and building industry entering international market, construction price forecasting has become an irresistible current trend. Based on macro-economic indicators listed which may be have some potential forecasting power for construction price, the method to identify the leading indicators of construction price and potential forecasting power of the indicators are analyzed theoretically, which will provide an theoretical analysis fame for future construction price forecasting.
Keywords:Forecasting power  Construction price  Macro-economic economic variables  Leading indicators
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