High-growth recoveries, inventories and the Great Moderation |
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Authors: | Maximo CamachoGabriel Perez Quiros Hugo Rodriguez Mendizabal |
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Affiliation: | a Universidad de Murcia, Spain b Banco de España, Spain c CEPR, London, UK d Instituto de Análisis Económico (CSIC), Spain e Barcelona GSE, Spain |
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Abstract: | We present evidence about the disappearance of the high-growth recoveries from recessions with intense job creation typically observed until the eighties. This result matches the belief that recessions now have an L-shape as opposed to the old-time recessions that always had a V-shape. We also show how this change in business cycle dynamics can explain part of the Great Moderation. We postulate that these two phenomena may be due to changes in inventory management brought about by improvements in information and communications technologies. |
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Keywords: | Business cycle features Great Moderation High-growth recovery |
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