| 四川省经济发展与耕地非农化的Granger因果关系分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 潘安兴,张文秀.四川省经济发展与耕地非农化的Granger因果关系分析[J].国土资源科技管理,2007,24(4):104-107. |
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| 作者姓名： | 潘安兴 张文秀 |
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| 作者单位： | 四川农业大学,经济管理学院,四川,雅安,625014 |
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| 摘 要： | 目前四川经济得到了快速的发展,但同时各项建设也占用了大量耕地.利用四川省1988-2005 年的统计数据,采用Granger因果关系分析法分析四川省GDP、城市化水平与耕地非农化之间的因果关系.分析表明:GDP和城市化水平是耕地非农化的原因,同时耕地非农化加快了城市化的进程,但耕地非农化并没有导致GDP的明显增加.
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| 关 键 词： | 耕地非农化 Granger因果关系 城市化水平 四川省 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-4210（2007）04-104-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-21 |
Granger Causality Test Between Economic Development and Cultivated Land Conversion in Sichuan Province |
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| PAN An-xing,ZHANG Wen-xiu.Granger Causality Test Between Economic Development and Cultivated Land Conversion in Sichuan Province[J].Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources,2007,24(4):104-107. |
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| Authors: | PAN An-xing ZHANG Wen-xiu |
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| Abstract: | Rapid economic development of Sichuan Province has led to a large amount of cultivated land expropriation tor construction. Based on the statistical data from 1988 to 2005 in Sichuan Province and using the method of granger causality test, this paper analyzes the relation of GDP, urbanization and cultivated land conversion. The result shows that GDP and urbanization are the reason for cultivated land conversion, and that farmland conversion has also accelerated the urbanization process, but cultivated land conversion does not result in a significant increase in GDP. |
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| Keywords: | cultivated land conversion Granger causality test urbanization Sichuan Province |
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