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Production decisions in the presence of options: A note
Institution:1. Ted Rogers School of Management, Ryerson University, 350 Victoria St, Toronto, ON M5B 2K3, Canada;2. Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, 105 St George St, Toronto, ON M5S 3E6, Canada;3. McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University, 3700 O St NW, Washington, DC 20057, USA
Abstract:This paper examines the behavior of the competitive firm under uncertainty in the presence of commodity options. We show that the risk-averse firm always uses fairly priced commodity options for hedging purposes. However, unlike the case of forward/futures contracts, the presence of fairly priced commodity options cannot induce the firm to produce up to the certainty equivalent level. We further show that risk aversion alone is not enough to make the firm more eager to produce in the presence of fairly priced commodity options. To establish this intuitively appealing result, the notion of prudence is also called for.
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