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Growth and volatility
Authors:Jean Imbs
Institution:a HEC Lausanne, Department of Economics, BFSH 1, Lausanne 1015, Switzerland
b Swiss Finance Institute and CEPR, Switzerland
Abstract:Growth and volatility correlate negatively across countries, but positively across sectors. Analytically, whether or not sectoral growth and volatility are correlated positively is irrelevant in the aggregate. Cross-country estimates identify the detrimental effects of macroeconomic volatility on growth, but they cannot be used to dismiss theories implying a positive growth-volatility coefficient, which appear to hold in sectoral data. In particular, volatile sectors command high investment rates, as they would in a mean-variance framework.
Keywords:E32  O40
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