| 海洋经济对国民经济的影响机制研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 方春洪,梁湘波,齐连明. 海洋经济对国民经济的影响机制研究[J]. 中国渔业经济, 2011, 29(3): 56-62 |
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| 作者姓名： | 方春洪 梁湘波 齐连明 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家海洋技术中心 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家海洋公益性行业科研专项经费项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本研究引入VAR模型，运用协整检验、因果检验及脉冲响应和方差分析的动态模拟手段实证分析1985～2008年我国海洋经济增长对国民经济的影响机制。结果表明：海洋经济增长能够促进后期国民经济增长，对国民经济的冲击表现出即期和延期效应，增长弹性呈先增后减的规律；海洋经济对沿海地区经济增长效果起效快，影响强劲，国民经济对海洋经济预测方差的作用贡献率不断提高，且沿海地区远高于全国。
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| 关 键 词： | 海洋经济 VAR模型 脉冲响应 方差分析 |
Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Marine Economy to Domestic Economy |
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| FANG Chun-hong,LIANG Xiang-Bo,QI Lian-ming. Empirical Analysis on the Impact of Marine Economy to Domestic Economy[J]. Chinese Fisheries Economics, 2011, 29(3): 56-62 |
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| Authors: | FANG Chun-hong LIANG Xiang-Bo QI Lian-ming |
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| Affiliation: | FANG Chun-hong,LIANG Xiang-Bo,QI Lian-ming (National Ocean Technology Center,Tianjin,300112) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,the cointegrating test,causality test,impulse response and variance decomposition are used to analyze the dynamic the influence of marine economy to domestic economy between 1985 and 2008 in china.The results are follows:First,marine economic growth can promote domestic economic growth in the subsequent period.Secondly,the impact of marine economy to domestic economy is divided into immediate and delay phenomenon.And finally,the response of GDP to one S.D.innovation of GOP goes up strongly in ... |
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| Keywords: | marine economy influence mechanism VAR model impulse response variance decomposition |
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