FDI与垂直型产业内贸易实证研究——基于中日统计数据的Granger因果检验

基于Fukao等人(2003)的模型对FDI与垂直型产业内贸易的分析结果表明,在FDI成本与贸易成本较低的条件下,当两国存在资源禀赋差异时,FDI会引起两国间垂直型产业内贸易。进一步利用1988年至2009年中日贸易数据的指数进行分析的结果表明:产业内贸易已成为两国贸易的重要组成部分,其中SITC 7类机电产品产业内贸易特征尤为明显,而中日产业内贸易比重的提升则主要得益于垂直型产业内贸易的发展。而Granger因果检验的结果证实了理论分析的结论。

An Empirical Analysis on FDI and Vertical Intra-industry Trade:A Granger-Causality Test based on the Statistical Data of China and Japan

At first,this paper analyses the theoretical relationship between FDI and vertical intra-industry trade by the model of Fukao et al.(2003),and the result shows that when the FDI cost and the trade cost are negligible,the FDI can aise the vertical intra-industry trade between the two countries which have the factor-price gap.Then with G-L index this paper analyses the trading data from 1988 to 2009 between China and Japan.And the result shows that the proportion of intra-industry trade has risen quickly, esp...