关中—天水经济区政府主导型农地流转对转出户 非农就业的影响 ——基于DID模型的实证分析

研究目的:在市场主导型和政府主导型农地流转并存的背景下,以关中—天水经济区为例,分析农地流转中政府干预力量对农户非农就业的影响效果,为政府制定农地流转政策提供依据。研究方法:以市场主导型作为参照,利用两期截面数据,采用DID模型方法将政府主导型农地流转与之比较。研究结果:在关中—天水经济区,政府主导型农地流转在提高农户家庭非农就业人数和人均非农就业收入方面都显著优于市场主导型农地流转,但家庭中非农务工者的人均非农收入却比市场主导型低了2251元。研究结论:政府主导型农地流转确实能够推动非农就业,但就业质量不高,反映出政府主导农地流转的"强推力"导致农户"强制外出"后非农就业技能不足。

The Impacts of Government-led Farmland Transfer on Off-farm Employment in Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone: Based on the DID Model

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of government intervention in farmland transfer on off-farm employment to provide proper policy recommendations under the background that market-oriented and government-led farmland transfer co-exist. The research method is that regarding the farmers participating in government-led and market-oriented farmland transfer as the experimental group and the control group, respectively, we used the DID model to analyze the two phase cross section data. The results show that the government-led farmland transfer performed significantly better than market-oriented farmland transfer did in improving off-farm employment and per capita off-farm employment income, while in the government-led mode, the average income of the off-farm family member is 2251 yuan less than that in the market-oriented mode. In conclusion, the government-led farmland transfer can actually promote employment, but the employment quality is poor, indicating the strong propulsion in the government-led mode leads to the lack of off-farm employment skills after farmers are forced to transfer the farmland.