中国FDI空间集聚与趋势面

改革开放以来,我国FDI的空间分布呈现出明显的集聚特征,FDI空间集聚对区域发展差距扩大产生重要影响。究竟空间因素多大程度上能解释FDI的空间分布?本文应用空间计量经济学与趋势面分析相结合方法,以601个县级以上城市人均FDI和空间位置坐标数据研究了FDI的空间集聚与趋势面。研究发现,空间因素对FDI集聚分布的相关性极其显著。从空间因素看,中国人均FDI分布可分成5个集聚区域,北部和西南地区难以吸引FDI入驻。这意味着,更有效地促进FDI北上,尤其是西进应当作为今后较长时期内我国FDI政策的导向。

China FDI Spatial Agglomeration and Trend Surface

Since the reform,the distribution of FDI flow into China shows obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics,which has an important impact on the gap of regional development.To what extent do spatial factors account for the distribution of FDI? Applying the model of spatial econometrics and trend surface to the data of per capita FDI and geography location in China′s 601 county-level city,this paper investigates the trend surface of distribution of FDI.The study finds that geographical factors do affect the spatial distribution of FDI.From the geographical perspectives,the latter can be divided into five regions,and northern and south-west regions of China can hardly attract FDI inflow.This means that it is still the main direction for our regional policy to effectively promote FDI going north and west during a rather long time in the future.