贸易引力模型研究新进展及其在中国的应用

贸易引力模型作为分析双边贸易量的工具已在国际贸易中得到广泛应用。本文首先介绍了贸易引力模型的内涵和形式,然后把贸易引力模型的实证研究新进展分为调整解释变量和解释边境效应两个阶段进行了梳理,从基于贸易理论基础和不基于贸易理论基础两个角度对贸易引力模型理论基础推导新进展进行了分析,对贸易引力模型在中国对外贸易中的应用进行了介绍。最后进行了评述和展望,并指出中国贸易引力模型的研究方向。

New Development of the Gravity Model and Its Application in China's Foreign Trade

The gravity model has been widely used for studying the flowing of bilateral trade.This paper firstly introduces the meaning and the form of gravity model, then classifies its new development by empirical research on gravity model into adjusting explaining variable and explaining border effect stages, with introduction of the new theoretical development on the foundation of gravity model, and its application in China's foreign trade.Finally, comments are made on the empirical and theoretical research of the gravity model.