| 基于Logit模型的奶农收入影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张利庠,王兴旺. 基于Logit模型的奶农收入影响因素分析[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2012, 31(9): 101 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张利庠 王兴旺 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学重大课题“开放经济条件下完善我国农产品价格形成机制和调控机制研究——基于产业链联动优化的视角” |
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| 摘 要： | 散户奶农利润降低导致奶农增收困难成为近年来奶业发展的一大问题。本文在对内蒙古呼和浩特市101户奶农调查的基础上，建立Logit模型分析影响奶农收入的因素，结果表明家庭劳动力人数、养殖规模、养殖时间、饲料地面积、饲料成本均对奶农收入有显著性的影响，为此政府在稳定饲料价格的同时，要鼓励奶农提高劳动生产率，合理确定养殖规模等。
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| 关 键 词： | 散户奶农 影响因素 Logit回归模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2012-06-28 |
ANALYSIS ON DAIRY FARMERS' INCOME BASED ON LOGIT MODEL |
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| ZHANG Li-xiang , WANG Xing-wang. ANALYSIS ON DAIRY FARMERS' INCOME BASED ON LOGIT MODEL[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2012, 31(9): 101 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Li-xiang WANG Xing-wang |
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| Affiliation: | School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development,; Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China |
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| Abstract: | Due to low profits of the retailing farmers, the difficulty of enhancing dairy farmers income had become a major problem of dairy industry development in recent years. On the basis of investigating 101 dairy farmers in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, this paper set up a Logit regression model to analyze the factors which might affect the dairy farmers' income. The results showed that the number of family labor, the scale of farming, the breeding time, the feed area, feed costs made a great effect on dairy farmers income. Therefore the government should not only stabilize feed prices but also encourage farmers to improve labor productivity and the reasonable scale of farming. |
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| Keywords: | retailing dairy farmers influencing factors Logit regression model |
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