| 国债对民间消费效率的计量分析——基于协整和ECM模型的检验 |
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| 引用本文： | 马树才,刘忠敏. 国债对民间消费效率的计量分析——基于协整和ECM模型的检验[J]. 当代经济管理, 2009, 31(7): 73-75 |
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| 作者姓名： | 马树才 刘忠敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁大学,经济学院,辽宁,沈阳,110036
2. 辽宁大学,经济学院,辽宁,沈阳,110036;吉林师范大学,管理学院,吉林,四平,136000 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用1981年～2007年数据,用协整和误差修正模型分析了我国国债对民间消费的效率,分析表明:无论是从长期还是短期看,国债的存量和流量都促进了我国的民间消费;我国国债符合"凯恩斯主义"理论,"李嘉图主义"关于国债理论在中国不成立.
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| 关 键 词： | 民间消费 国债 协整 误差修正模型 |
The Efficiency of Government Bonds on Private Consumption in China--Based on Co-integration and Error Correction Model Test |
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| Ma Shucai,Liu Zhongmin. The Efficiency of Government Bonds on Private Consumption in China--Based on Co-integration and Error Correction Model Test[J]. Contemporary Economic Management, 2009, 31(7): 73-75 |
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| Authors: | Ma Shucai Liu Zhongmin |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Liaoning University;Shenyang 110036;China;2.Jilin Normal University;Siping 136000;China |
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| Abstract: | Having analyzed the efficiency of government bonds on private consumption in China between 1981 and 2007 by co-integration test and error correction model,the empirical analysis shows that stock and flow of government bonds promotes private consumption either in the long-term or on a short-term basis and government bonds are in line with"Keynesian"theory but"Ricardian"theory does not work in China. |
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| Keywords: | private consumption government bonds co -integration error correction model |
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