我国低碳城市发展战略研究

在全球气候变暖的背景下，建设低碳城市已成为大势所趋，发展低碳城市首先应当有战略指引，我国亟待制定低碳城市发展战略。基于SWOT定量分析方法，首先分析了我国发展低碳城市的优势、劣势、机遇、威胁4个方面的关键因素，定量计算了总优势、总劣势、总机遇、总威胁力度，然后构建了战略四边形，最终确定了战略方向、战略类型、战略模式。研究结果表明：①我国应选择争取性战略方向、机会型战略类型、积极进取型战略模式；②从总体战略方向的把握上看，我国低碳城市发展战略应是争取利用外部机遇来克服内部劣势；③虽然目前我国发展低碳城市处于劣势地位，但只要积极抢抓机遇并调动各方力量，就可以实现战略目标。最后，依据研究结果提出了宏观战略对策。

Study on the Strategy to Develope Low Carbon City in China

Under the background of global climate change, the construction of low carbon city has become represent the general trend. The development of low carbon city should first have the strategy guide, low carbon city development strategy in our country to be solved. Firstly, the key factors of strength, weakness, opportunity, threat are analyzed based on the quantitative method of SWOT. After that, intensities of total strength, weakness, opportunity, threat are quantificationally calculation. Finally, strategic direction, type and mode to develope low carbon city are ascertained. The research results show that: (1) the strategic direction of striving, strategic type of opportunity and strategic mode of aggressiveness should be the best-choice; (2) From the view of overall strategic direction, external opportunities should be strived for and used to overcome internal weaknesses; (3) Although the inferior position in developing low carbon city, but as long as actively seize the opportunity to mobilize all forces still can achieve strategic goals. According to the results, this paper puts forward the strategic countermeasures from four macroscopic aspects.