东北地区资源型城市产业结构升级的战略效应

基于产业结构锁定效应理论,东北地区资源型城市"凤凰涅槃"式产业转型和"腾笼换鸟"式产业转移是实现产业结构升级的有效路径,本文使用PSM-DID方法对东北地区资源型城市的产业结构升级效应进行检验。研究结果表明:东北振兴战略对资源型城市产业转型和产业转移产生了显著的负向影响;东北振兴战略可以通过经济发展、人力资本、工业化、政府规模等影响资源型城市产业转型和产业转移;东北振兴战略既表现出一定的地区异质性,也表现出一定的分类异质性,促进了衰退型和再生型城市产业转移,阻碍了成熟型城市产业转型。因此,应提升资源型城市人力资本水平,突破资源型产业锁定效应,因地制宜地制定产业政策,分类引导资源型城市转型。

The Strategic Effect of Industrial Structure Upgrading of Resource-based Cities in Northeast China

Based on the theory of lock-in effect of industrial structure,the industrial transformation of“Phoenix Nirvana”and“cage for bird”in resource-based cities in Northeast China are effective ways to realize the upgrading of industrial structure.The paper uses PSM-DID method to test the industrial structure upgrading effect of resource-based cities in Northeast China.The results show that the Northeast Revitalization Strategy has a significant negative impact on the industrial transformation and industrial transfer of resource-based cities;the Northeast Revitalization strategy can influence the industrial transformation and industrial transfer of resource-based cities through economic development,human capital,industrialization and government scale;the Northeast Revitalization Strategy not only shows certain regional heterogeneity,but also shows certain classification heterogeneity,which promotes the industrial transfer of declining and renewable cities and hinders the industrial transformation of mature cities.Therefore,we should improve the human capital level of resource-based cities,break through the lock-in effect of resource-based industries,formulate industrial policies according to local conditions,and guide the transformation of resource-based cities by classification.