| KMV模型在渔业上市公司财务预警中的运用——以獐子岛为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 王元月,景在伦,刘伟.KMV模型在渔业上市公司财务预警中的运用——以獐子岛为例[J].中国渔业经济,2019(3):56-61. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王元月 景在伦 刘伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国海洋大学经济学院;中国海洋大学管理学院;中国银行云南省分行;青岛农业大学经济与管理学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 獐子岛“黑天鹅”事件让市场参与各方大跌眼镜。本文通过引入KMV模型,对獐子岛“黑天鹅”事件之前的理论违约概率进行测算,并与同期评级机构对獐子岛的信用评级相对照,验证了KMV模型在对上市公司进行财务预警时相较于传统评级机构的信用评级所具有的前瞻性。
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| 关 键 词： | 獐子岛 黑天鹅事件 KMV模型 财务预警 |
Application of KMV model in the financial early warning for fishery listed companies: take Zhangzi Island as an example |
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| WANG Yuan-yue,JING Zai-lun,LIU Wei.Application of KMV model in the financial early warning for fishery listed companies: take Zhangzi Island as an example[J].Chinese Fisheries Economics,2019(3):56-61. |
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| Authors: | WANG Yuan-yue JING Zai-lun LIU Wei |
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| Institution: | (College of Economics,Ocean University of China,Shandong Qingdao 266100,China;College of Management,Ocean University of China,Shandong Qingdao 266100,China;Bank of China Yunnan Branch,Yunnan Kunming 650051,China;School of Economics & Management,Qingdao Agriculture University,Shandong Qingdao 266109,China) |
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| Abstract: | WANG Yuan-yue;JING Zai-lun;LIU Wei(College of Economics,Ocean University of China,Shandong Qingdao 266100,China;College of Management,Ocean University of China,Shandong Qingdao 266100,China;Bank of China Yunnan Branch,Yunnan Kunming 650051,China;School of Economics & Management,Qingdao Agriculture University,Shandong Qingdao 266109,China) |
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| Keywords: | Zhangzi Island Black Swan Event KMV Model Financial early warning |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
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