政策组合能否促进民参军企业协同创新——基于演化博弈的数值仿真视角

军民科技协同创新是构建军民一体化国家战略体系和能力的重要内容，营造良好的政策环境是推进军民科技协同创新的重要方式。以民参军企业、科研院所和政府为博弈主体构建三方博弈演化模型，通过系统分析政策支持对博弈主体策略选择的影响过程，利用Matlab数值仿真分析不同政策及政策组合支持对民参军企业与科研院所协同创新的影响。结果表明，政府对不同创新主体应采用不同组合政策支持，直接政策与间接政策对鼓励民参军企业开展协同创新更加有效，营造良好的创新环境有利于科研院所选择协同创新策略；政府需要采用合理的政策组合支持军民协同创新，中强度的直接与间接政策以及低强度的创新环境政策组合相较单一政策支持对民参军企业与科研院所协同创新更有效。

Does Policy Combination Promote the Collaborative Innovation of Civil-Invested Military Enterprises and Scientific Research Institutions:an Simulation Analysis Perspective based on Evolutionary Game

It is important for collaborative innovation in military and civilian science and technology to enhance the national integrated strategic system and capability and creating a favourable policy environment is an important way to promote collaborative innovation in military and civilian science and technology. A three-party game evolution model is constructed with civil-invested military enterprises, research institutes and the government as game subjects. Through systematic analysis of the influence of policy support on the strategy choice of game subjects, and numerical simulation using Matlab to analyze the influence of different policies and policy combination support on the collaborative innovation of civil-invested military enterprises and research institutes in science and technology. The study shows that: (1) the government should adopt different combinations of policy support for different innovation agents, with direct and indirect policies being more effective in encouraging innovation by civil-military enterprises, and good environmental regulation policies being more effective in promoting collaborative innovation by research institutes; (2) the government needs to adopt a reasonable combination of policies to support synergy between civil-military science and technology innovation, with a combination of medium-intensity direct and indirect policies and low-intensity environmental regulation being more effective than a single policy support for synergy between civil-invested military enterprises and scientific research institutions.