| 中国近代的经济增长和中长周期波动 |
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| 引用本文： | 王玉茹.中国近代的经济增长和中长周期波动[J].经济学(季刊),2005(1):461-490. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王玉茹 |
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| 摘 要： | 从鸦片战争到全国解放的历史时期,中国经济发展总体状况如何?一百余年间,中国经济增长的速度是快还是慢?这一百余年的经济史如何划分阶段?该文利用可以找到的中国近代经济统计资料,运用数理分析方法对中国经济近代化的程度、发展状况进行度量和分析,以回答上述问题.该文的研究始于19世纪80年代,止于20世纪30年代中期,由中国近代的经济增长;中国近代经济发展的中长周期波动;中国近代经济增长的总趋势与发展阶段三个部分组成.
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 中长周期波动 经济发展阶段 |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE MEDIUM-LONG CYCLES IN MODERN CHINA |
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| Wang Yuru.ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE MEDIUM-LONG CYCLES IN MODERN CHINA[J].China Economic Quarterly,2005(1):461-490. |
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| Authors: | Wang Yuru |
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| Abstract: | What characterized the state of the Chinese economic situation over the century between the Opium War in 1840 and the Communist take-over in 1949? Growth, stagnation or decline? Were there distinctive periods or cycles? In this paper, the author provides a preliminary statistical analysis of the period 1880?1936. The paper consists of three parts. The first part provides a statistical profile of economic growth and structural change. The second part discusses the medium and long cycles. The third part analy... |
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