|
|||||
|
|
Election predictions as martingales: an arbitrage approach |
|
| Authors: | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Institution: | 1. Tandon School of Engineering, New York University, New York, NY, USA.;2. Universa Investments L.P., Miami, FL, USA. |
| Abstract: | The more volatile the prediction the closer to an even call |
| Keywords: | |