Human Capital and Economic Growth in Asia 1890–2000: A Time‐series Analysis* |
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Authors: | Bas Van Leeuwen Peter Foldvari |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Economics, University of Warwick, CV4 7AL Coventry, UK;2. Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Debrecen, 4028 Debrecen, Hungary |
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Abstract: | There is a general consensus that human capital is a major factor behind long‐run economic growth. Yet, on a macro level, the empirical results do not always seem to concur with this view. To explain this gap between theory and empirics, more focus has been laid on measurement error and data quality. Using an alternative estimate of the stock of human capital, based on Judson (2002), we find evidence that the two major views on the role of human capital in economic development by Lucas (1988) and Romer (1990) coexist and are by no means mutually exclusive. Using a Johansen cointegration test, we find that in India and Indonesia the level of human capital is cointegrated with the level of aggregate income during the whole 20th century, which confirms the theory of Lucas (1988). In Japan, however, the Lucasian approach can be verified only for the first half of the century, while after 1950 there is cointegration between the growth rate of aggregate income and the level of human capital, which is in line with Romer's view. |
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Keywords: | human capital education economic growth time‐series analysis cointegration J24 N15 N35 O47 |
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