贸易溢出、人力资本与经济增长--基于中国数据的经验分析

按照Muzumdar和Baldwin的观点,贸易通过促进资本积累来促进进口国的经济增长,而根据Helpman等人的观点,贸易通过其内生的技术溢出对经济增长的影响更为持久,而技术溢出的效果则与贸易结构相关,并且需要一定的人力资本存量相结合,通过结合中国的数据分析发现:人力资本结构和分布状况对贸易溢出产生显著影响,人力资本水平的提高将增加贸易对经济增长的贡献,即贸易通过人力资本发生的技术溢出对经济增长会产生持久影响。

Trade Spillover, Human Capital and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis Based on China's Data

How does trade promotes economic growth? There are different explanations about this question. According to Muzumdar and Balbdwin's view, trade promotes growth by accelerating capital accumulation. But in Helpman's view, trade promotes growth through technology spillover. But the degree of spillover is relative to trade structure , and need human capital go together. Through Chinese data analysis, we conclude that the structure and distribution of human capital have a great effect on trade spillover, and the improvement of human capital will increase the trade contribution to economic growth, which means that trade spillover have permanent effect on economic growth.