| 基于现金流量的投资企业财务风险预警分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋元涛.基于现金流量的投资企业财务风险预警分析[J].财贸研究,2005,16(4):84-87. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋元涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海财经大学,信息系,上海,200433 |
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| 摘 要： | 由于受各种难以预料或者控制因素的影响,企业财务状况具有不确定性,从而使企业有蒙受损失的可能性。特别是处于投资期的企业,如果由于现金流入与流出在时间上差距太大,就有可能导致现金短缺。本文从投资企业的资金需求现状出发,分析企业在投资过程中发生财务风险的可能性,利用灰色灾变预测方法,构造现金流量异常值的预警模型,以对企业的财务风险进行预警。实践证明,该模型具有很高的可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 投资企业 灰色灾变预测 现金流量净值 预警 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-28 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-28 |
Cash-flow-based Study on the Forcast Model of Financial Risks of Invsetment Corporation |
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| JIANG Yuan-tao.Cash-flow-based Study on the Forcast Model of Financial Risks of Invsetment Corporation[J].Finance and Trade Research,2005,16(4):84-87. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Yuan-tao |
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| Abstract: | The enterprise investment may sometimes meet the risk of capital shortage because of its cash flow that is going on all the time.On the basis of calamity prediction method of grey system,the writer of this paper establishes the Forcast Model of Cash Flow Abnormal Value for Investment Enterprise(IECAFM).This model has been proved highly feasible in practice. |
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| Keywords: | investment enterprise grey calamity prediction cash flow net forcast |
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