城镇化、贸易开放影响经济增长的差异性研究——基于面板数据FMOLS的再思考

文章以城镇化、贸易开放和经济增长为研究对象，运用协整检验和完全修正的最小二乘法（FMOLS）对我国省际面板数据进行实证分析，表明：我国的城镇化、贸易开放与经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的面板协整关系；城镇化和贸易开放对经济增长都有促进作用，但作用力度有差异；城镇化是经济增长的Granger原因，而贸易开放不是经济增长的Granger原因。

Study About Different Effects of Urbanization,Trade Openness on Economic Growth--Reconsideration Based on the Panel Data FMOLS

This paper treats urbanization, trade openness and economic growth as research objects, and uses co-integration test and fully modified ordinary least square method （FMOLS） to empirically analyze China＇s inter-provincial panel data. Some useful conclusions can be listed as follows： there exists a long-term stable panel cointegration relationship among Ehina＇s urbanization, trade openness and economic growth; urbanization and trade openness does have a role in promoting economic growth, but the degree of effect is different; urbanization is the Granger cause of economic growth, but trade openness is not the Granger cause of economic growth.