| 基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的广西航空物流预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷继勇,杨洋. 基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的广西航空物流预测分析[J]. 物流技术, 2012, 0(5): 92-94 |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷继勇 杨洋 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学经济管理学院;桂林电子科技大学商学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用GM(1,1)模型对"十二五"规划期间广西航空市场货邮吞吐量进行了预测,得出"十二五"末广西航空货邮吞吐量将达到15.8万吨。通过预测数据与实际数据对比表明该方法的预测精度较高,有一定的应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1,1)模型 航空物流 吞吐量 广西 |
Forecast of Guangxi Aviation Logistics Based on Grey GM(1,1) |
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| YIN Ji-yong,YANG Yang. Forecast of Guangxi Aviation Logistics Based on Grey GM(1,1)[J]. Logistics Technology, 2012, 0(5): 92-94 |
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| Authors: | YIN Ji-yong YANG Yang |
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| Affiliation: | 1.School of Economics & Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044; 2.School of Business,Guilin University of Electronic Science & Technology,Guilin 541004,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper uses the GM(1,1) model to forecast the cargo and postal throughput of the Guangxi aviation market during the twelfth five-year-plan period and estimates that by the end of the period,the aforementioned throughput will reach 158 thousand tons,the accuracy of which is attested by matching the forecast figures with actual data. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1,1) model aviation logistics throughput Guangxi |
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