基于不完全信息的物流企业赊账决策优化模型的研究

将信息不对称情况下企业赊欠账款的决策过程视为一个时间离散但状态连续的随机决策过程,在对企业获得的预期收益以及市场消失的概率进行充分考虑的基础上,提出了对企业赊账收益的估计、预测以及决策的最优停止模型,给出了决策规则,最后通过实例验证了模型的有效性。

Study on Optimization Model in Logistics Enterprise Credit Decision-making Based on Incomplete Information

In this paper,we viewed the process of credit decision-making by enterprises with asymmetric information as a stochastic decision process that is discrete in time but continuous in state and on the basis of a thorough consideration of the probability of the enterprise obtaining the expected revenue and of market disappearance,proposed the optimal cessation model for the estimation,prediction and decision of the benefit of the credit,presented the rules of decision and finally validated the effectiveness of the model through an empirical study.