Historical family structure as a predictor of liberal voting: Evidence from a century of Russian history |
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| Institution: | 1. Institute for East European Studies, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany;2. Laboratory for Comparative Social Research, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia;3. Leuphana University, Lüneburg, Germany;4. International Center for the Study of Institutions and Development, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia;1. Fluminense Federal University, Department of Economics and National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), Brazil;2. Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Department of Economics, Brazil;1. Institute of Economics, School of Social Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;2. School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China;1. Department of Quantitative Economics, School of Economics and Business, University of Sarajevo, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina;2. World Bank, Washington DC, United States |
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| Abstract: | Family structure is considered a particularly important predictor of social and political development; historical differences in family size and other family characteristics cast a long shadow over societal development. This paper explores the effect of differences in historical family size on political behavior based on within-country variations in this characteristic in Russia. Unlike most papers on historical legacies, we trace the effect of family size over a century of Russian history with a focus on the first competitive and free elections in Russia—to the Constituent Assembly—held in 1917 and on the presidential elections in post-Soviet Russia in 1996 and 2000. Mean family size is measured based on the census data for 1897. We find a robust and significant association between smaller family size and a voting preference for parties that are economically liberal, which holds despite differences in the political, economic, and social environment between the 1910s and 1990s |
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| Keywords: | Family size Historical legacies Russia Voting |
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