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Public debt management and private financial development
Affiliation:1. Bocconi University, Italy;2. International Monetary Fund & CEPR, United States;1. College of Business, Department of Economics, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA;2. Department of Economics, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan,;3. Department of Finance, Deakin Business School, Deakin University, Geelong 3125, Australia;1. Izmir University of Economics, Department of Economics, Türkiye;2. Dokuz Eylul University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics, Türkiye;1. Department of Quantitative Economics, School of Economics and Business, University of Sarajevo, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina;2. World Bank, Washington DC, United States;1. Research Institute for Banking, Banking Academy of Vietnam, No.12 Chua Boc, Dong Da, Hanoi, Viet Nam;2. International Business Faculty, Banking Academy of Vietnam, No.12 Chua Boc, Dong Da, Hanoi, Viet Nam;1. Fluminense Federal University, Department of Economics and National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), Brazil;2. Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Department of Economics, Brazil
Abstract:In several developing countries, high and rising public debt is an important source of vulnerability. Strengthening debt management is a priority, but its effects on domestic economies have been hardly analyzed. This paper asks whether better public debt management could have spillover effects on the private sector, leading to more (and more stable) private capital flows and domestic credit. This is a relevant question in a context of financial deepening and increasing private capital inflows, which could be prone to episodes of bonanza, sudden stops and crises. Our results, based on a sample of developing countries, show positive spillover effects from better public debt management to private capital inflows and domestic financial deepening.
Keywords:Public debt  Debt management  Private credit  Financial development  Capital flows
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