| 上海市碳排放的历史特征与远期趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 梁朝晖. 上海市碳排放的历史特征与远期趋势分析[J]. 上海经济研究, 2009, 0(7) |
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| 作者姓名： | 梁朝晖 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海社会科学院部门经济研究所,200020 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文推导了能源消费总量、结构与碳排放量之间的关系式--即单位能耗碳排放系数的表达式,利用上海市1978年～2007年的历史数据,构建了上海市能源消费总量与经济总量、人口和产业结构之间的关系式.在此基础上,按照对2010年、2020年上海经济增长速度的估计预测能源消费总量,模拟出不同情景下的能源结构,从而测算上海市各主要年份的碳排放总量,分析上海市碳排放总量、人均碳排放和碳排放强度的演变趋势.
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放 能源消费 能源结构 |
The Historical Characteristics and Long-term Trend of Carbon Emissions in Shanghai |
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| Liang Zhaohui. The Historical Characteristics and Long-term Trend of Carbon Emissions in Shanghai[J]. Shanghai Economic Review, 2009, 0(7) |
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| Authors: | Liang Zhaohui |
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| Affiliation: | Institute of National Economy of shanghai Academy of Social Sciences |
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| Abstract: | The thesis estimates the relationship among total energy consumption,energy structure and carbon emissions at first-carbon emission factor of one energy consumption unit under different energy structure,and constructed the formula of Shanghai's economic growth,total energy consumption and the resident population by using the history data of Shanghai in 1978-2007.On this basis,the thesis derives the evolution of trends of total carbon emissions,per capita carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity of the... |
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| Keywords: | carbon emissions energy consumption energy structure |
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