福建省FDI、第三产业GDP和就业人数互动关系研究——基于VAR模型

在经济转型、产业结构调整的大背景下，运用1985-2011年的数据，采用VAR模型研究福建省FDI、第三产业GDP和第三产业就业人数互动关系。结果表明：福建省FDI促进第三产业GDP的发展，不仅在短期明显，中期和长期也明显；福建省FDI对第三产业就业人数短期具抑制作用，这从侧面也反应了FDI在第三产业投资方式的畸形性；第三产业的GDP对FDI的反向促进作用较小，福建省积极吸引外资政策方面的因素，对FDI更具吸引力。

Study on the relationship between FDI of Fujian Province,the third industry to GDP and employment interaction -Based on VAR model

in the background of economic transition, the adjustment of industrial structure, using the 1985-2011 data, the study of VAR model of Fujian province FDI, third GDP and third industry industry employment relationship. The results showed that： Fujian province to promote the development of the third industry in FDI GDP, not only in the short-term, medium-term and long-term is obvious; Fujian province FDI on employment of third industry short-term inhibit, this also from the side reflects the deformity of FDI investment in third industries; the reverse of FDI third industrial GDP has less effect Fujian Province, factors to attract foreign investment policy, more attractive to FDI.