Evergreening in banking |
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Authors: | J.-P. Niinimaki |
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Affiliation: | aDepartment of Economics, Helsinki School of Economics, P.O. Box 1210, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland |
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Abstract: | In the dynamic model of banking, a bank's option to hide its loan losses by rolling over non-performing loans is shown to worsen moral hazard. Contrary to the classic theory, moral hazard may arise even when a bank cannot seek a correlated risk for its loans. The loans seem to be performing and the bank makes a profit although it is de facto insolvent. When the bank's balance sheet includes hidden non-performing loans, the bank may optimally shrink lending or gamble for resurrection by growing aggressively. To eliminate this type of moral hazard, which is broadly consistent with evidence from emerging economies, a few regulatory implications are suggested. |
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Keywords: | Banking crises Bank regulation Deposit insurance Dynamic moral hazard Forbearance lending |
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