城乡固定资产投资差距变化与中国经济增长互动关系研究

以城乡固定资产投资差距变化为视角,利用1980—2010的年度统计数据对经济增长与城乡固定资产投资差距变化关系进行了研究,通过协整分析及Granger因果检验得出结论:经济增长无论在长期还是短期都是城乡固定资产投资差距变化的原因之一,而城乡固定资产投资差距变化仅对短期的经济增长产生影响。基于此,文章提出通过经济增长使偏离的城乡固定资产投资差距实现合理回归以及通过合理的城乡固定资产投资差距促进经济快速增长都可成为政策调控的着力点。

Studying on Interaction Between the Change of the Gap of Urban-Rural Investment in Fixed Assets and China Economy Growth

This paper uses the change of the gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets as perspective , uses annual statistical data during 1980 to 2010 to study on the relationship between economy growth and the change of the gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets, by cointegration analysis and Granger causality test, comes to the conclusion that economy growth is one of the causes of the change of the gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets whether the term is long or short, but the change of the gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets affects economy growth only in the short term. Based on this, the paper puts forward that can be the starting point of regulation and control policy to make the deflected gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets to realize reasonable regression through the economy growth and to promote economy quick growth through the reasonable gap of urban-rural investment in fixed assets.