出口贸易、教育投入与经济增长:理论模型与经验证据

笔者借鉴获得性技能模型思想,研究教育投入通过影响外贸发展间接影响经济增长的路径,并重点考察两者对经济增长的联合影响机制.利用2004年～2009年31个省市数据进行实证分析,结果表明:教育投入对经济增长的边际影响为负且教育行业投入与出口贸易对经济增长的联合影响正向显著.可见教育投入对经济增长的直接促进作用,远远小于其通过促进外贸发展间接促进经济增长的作用.

Export Trade, Education Investment and Economic Growth:Theoretical Model and Empirical Evidence

Using the acquired skill model for reference,the authors studied the way of education investment affecting economic growth indirectly through affecting foreign trade development,and reviewed emphatically the combined influence of the two on economic growth.By using the panel data of 31 provinces and cities from 2004～2009,the authors made an empirical analysis.The findings show that investment in education has a negative marginal effect on economic growth,and the combined effect of education investment and export trade on economic growth is obviously positive.It can be seen that the direct influence of education investment on economic growth is far less than its indirect influence on economic growth by promoting the development of foreign trade.