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Development of scenario conditions as a key stage of economic forecast preparation
Authors:A A Shirov  M S Gusev
Institution:1.Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences,Moscow,Russia
Abstract:Formation of coordinated economic development forecasts is impossible without elaborating hypotheses and assumptions about the development of the world economy, situation in key commodity and exchange markets, parameters of economic policy, etc. The quality of forecasts and their feasibility mainly depend on how well these indices are coordinated. Different approaches to the formation of macroeconomic scenarios are considered in the paper in the framework of preparation of macroeconomic forecasts of Russia’s economic development in the medium- and long-term perspective.
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