| 金融发展、产业结构升级与城市化进程 |
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| 引用本文： | 饶华春.金融发展、产业结构升级与城市化进程[J].新疆财经学院学报,2009(4):42-45. |
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| 作者姓名： | 饶华春 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东金融学院,广东广州510521 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省科技厅重大规划项目《中国城市化进程中产业发展和金融发展》，广东金融学院课题《融资约束对企业投资行为影响研究》 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于VAR模型及其协整分析，利用Granger因果检验法及方差分解，对我国金融发展、产业结构升级与城市化的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明：我国金融发展、产业结构升级有力地推动了城市化进程，但产业结构升级对城市化的贡献率只有15％左右，没有充分发挥其对城市化的推动作用。因此，要充分发挥产业结构升级对城市化的推动作用，就要使产业结构升级与城市化协调发展并实现有效互动。金融发展对城市化的促进要在金融规模扩张的同时，注重提高金融体系的效率。
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| 关 键 词： | 金融发展 产业结构 城市化 |
Financial Development,Industrial Structure Upgrading and Urbanization |
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| Institution: | RAO Hua - chun (Guangdong University of Finance, Guangzhou 510521, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on VAR model and co- integration analysis, this paper investigates the relationship among financial development, industrial structure upgrading and urbanization in China by using Granger causality test and variance decomposition. The results show that financial development and industrial structure upgrading promotes the pace of urbanization intensively while industrial structure upgrading does not fully play its role in promoting urbanization because its contribution rate is only 15 per cent in the pace of urbanization. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions. |
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| Keywords: | financial development industrial structure urbanization |
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