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Risk spillovers from China's and the US stock markets during high-volatility periods: Evidence from East Asianstock markets
Institution:1. Business school, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China;2. School of Economics and Finance, Xi''an Jiaotong University, Xi''an, China;1. Department of Global Finance and Banking, Inha University, South Korea;2. Department of Economics, Inha University, South Korea;1. School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China;2. Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;3. School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China
Abstract:This paper studies cross-country risk spillovers through C-vine copula quantile regression. We find Both China's and the US markets can result in large risk spillovers to East Asian markets. Furthermore, their significant conditional spillovers indicate they can emit risk through an intermediary market. However, their distinctive dependency structures with East Asian markets reflect their differences in spillovers to the markets in magnitude. The risk spillovers from US are stronger than China in magnitude. Moreover, the risk spillover from China's stock market during its high-volatility period is weaker than the whole period, which is contrary to the US market. It may imply Chinese financial influences gradually increase with Chinese financial liberalization and regional integration. Our results have implications for macroprudential regulators adopt the effective supervision and regulation to deal with the cross-border risk spillovers, and for international investors in risk hedging, derivative valuation and investment.
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