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Left-tail momentum and tail properties of return distributions: A case of Korea
Affiliation:1. School of Business, Pusan National University, Busan 46241, Republic of Korea;2. College of Social Science, Hansung University, Seoul 02876, Republic of Korea;3. College of Business Administration, University of Seoul, Seoul 02504, Republic of Korea;1. School of Accounting, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China;2. Business School, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China;3. School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100190, China
Abstract:This study documents the importance of considering the cross-sectional differences in the tail properties of stocks' return distributions when analyzing the left-tail momentum (LTM) phenomenon. This phenomenon is verified in the Korean stock markets, which shows that stocks showing large losses in the past tend to continue to perform poorly in the future. However, when tail fatness (TF), measured using standardized return distributions, is considered, the LTM phenomenon is significant only in the low-TF stock group. This means that investors underestimate the persistence of left-tail risk only for stocks with a low frequency of large losses, and not for all stocks that show large losses. The results of the measurement of tail risk (TR) reaffirm the positive relationship with expected returns, which shows that the existence of LTM is verified only in the low-TR stock group, suggesting a need for caution in interpreting the LTM phenomenon with low TR as a market anomaly.
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