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Economic policy uncertainty,investor attention and post-earnings announcement drift
Institution:1. University of Piraeus, Department of Banking and Financial Management, 80, M. Karaoli & A. Dimitriou St., 185 34 Piraeus, Greece;2. ESCP Business School, London, UK;1. International University, Quarter 6, Linh Trung Ward, Thu Duc City, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam;2. Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam;3. Excelia Business School, 102 Rue de Coureilles - Les Minimes, 17024 La Rochelle, France;4. EDHEC Business School, 24 avenue Gustave Delory, CS 50411, 59057 Roubaix Cedex 1, Lille, France;1. College of Economics, Shenzhen University, 3688 Nanhai Avenue, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518060, PR China;2. Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University, 2-1, Rokkodai, Nada-Ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
Abstract:How the market incorporates information into stock price is a core issue in finance. This study focuses on the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the stock prices information efficiency of China's A-share market and underlying role of investors' attention allocation mechanism. This study analyzes the information efficiency of stock prices using the sensitivity of stock cumulative abnormal return to earnings information across different windows following earnings announcement. Based on the earnings announcement events of listed companies in China's A-share market, this study presents an empirical study of the aforementioned issues using event study and regression analysis methods. The following results are seen: (1) EPU aggravates the underreaction of stock price earnings information and the post-earnings announcement drift in the A-share market. (2) Under highly uncertain economic policies, investors show a limited attention allocation pattern of devoting increasing attention to macroeconomic policies and decreasing attention to earnings information, which leads to a decrease in the information efficiency of stock price. This study also analyzes the heterogeneity of the influence of EPU on stock price information efficiency using the institutional shareholding ratio. The results show that increasing institutional shareholding does not reduce the adverse effects of EPU on the information efficiency of stock prices. This study not only provides empirical evidence for Brunnermeier, Sockin, and Xiong (2022) and rational inattention theory, but also reveals that institutional investors show similar behavioral characteristics to retail investors in China's stock market. The results of this study have policy significance for improving the information efficiency of stock market.
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