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从当前的人民币汇率波动看人民币国际化
引用本文:余永定. 从当前的人民币汇率波动看人民币国际化[J]. 国际经济评论, 2012, 0(1): 18-26,4
作者姓名:余永定
作者单位:中国社会科学院;中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所
摘    要:开放贸易项下人民币结算,使得香港离岸人民币(CNH)外汇市场得以与大陆在岸人民币(CNY)外汇市场并存。由于同时存在两个人民币外汇市场和两个人民币汇率,且资金可以相对自由地流动,套利活动和套汇活动得以大行其道。最近CNY的贬值主要是套汇和套利发生方向性逆转的结果。

关 键 词:人民币国际化  离岸  在岸  套利活动  套汇活动

The Current RMB Exchange Rate Volatility and RMB Internationalization
Yu Yongding. The Current RMB Exchange Rate Volatility and RMB Internationalization[J]. International Economic Review, 2012, 0(1): 18-26,4
Authors:Yu Yongding
Affiliation:Yu Yongding
Abstract:Opening the yuan settlement under the trade account allows co-existence of the offshore CNH foreignexchange market in Hong Kong and the onshore CNY foreign exchange market in the mainland.Giventhe different yuan foreign exchange markets and exchange rates and the relatively free flow of capital,carry trade and activities have become very popular.The recent yuan depreciation is mainly a result ofthe carry trade,or to be more exact,the change in the direction of carry trade activities.Therefore,thecentral bank should get more cautious in pushing the yuan internationalization and temporarily stoploosening the limits on the free cross-border flow of capital.
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