Form,change, and information: Qualitative dynamics in futures research |
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| Authors: | William H Redmond |
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| Institution: | William H. Redmond is at the Quantitative Management Sciences Department, College of Business Administration, University of Houston, Houston, Texas 77004, USA |
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| Abstract: | Certain concepts of qualitative dynamics can be useful aids in the comparison, evaluation, and understanding of long-range forecasts; primarily the implications of these forecasts (as opposed to their means of construction, assumptions, or validity). This usefulness is demonstrated by the application of qualitative dynamics (the topology of catastrophe theory) to the forecasts of the Kahn group and the Meadows group. |
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