Building the future: Undertaking proactive strategy for national outlook |
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Authors: | Ali Asghar Pourezzat Abdolazim Mollaee Morteza Firouzabadi |
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Affiliation: | aDepartment of Public Administration, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran;bFaculty of Management, Qom College, University of Tehran, Qom, Iran;cFaculty of Industrial Engineering, Mazandaran University of Science and Technology, Mazandaran, Iran |
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Abstract: | Future studies should provide the means to forecast potential crisis in order to avoid them or limit their effects [Masini, E. 2006, Rethinking futures studies, Futures 38, 1158-1168]. Recognizing and realizing the future events from past up to the present have been the main concern of the rulers and policy makers from the very beginning of civilization. Future studies are a decisive part of the public decision process which plays a very distinctive role in the desirable future of a society. The role of elites in future studies and scenario building is notable; they design national policies and strategies and have a significant impact in general public. Although future cannot be foretold by anyone, the interactions of advanced nations seem to be counter productive; they try to depict the futures. In this case, the futures are built, not predicted. The interactions of two or more systems at the level of international relations have been discussed in this paper. The imaginations of general public toward the futures are given in each society by using these analogies: railroad, river, sea and game. Therefore, the intervention of advanced nations may confront passive, harmonic, active, proactive and chaotic reaction in the other nations. We have discussed that undertaking proactive strategy is the best way to design national perspective. |
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