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ON THE PARAMETERIZATION OF TECHNIQUES FOR REPRESENTING REGIONAL ECONOMIC STRUCTURES
Authors:Andrea  Bonfiglio
Institution:Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics ‘G. Fuà’ , Polytechnic University of the Marche , Ancona, Italy
Abstract:This paper is concerned with two parameterized methods of regionalising input–output coefficients: the Flegg et al. Location Quotient (FLQ) and its augmented version (AFLQ). For applying the two techniques, a parameter δ has to be estimated. In this regard, the paper faces two matters that are still open in the literature: the existence of a range of δ that can be used in different regions and the estimation of the most appropriate value of δ. For this aim, a Monte Carlo simulation has been carried out in order to generate ‘true’ multiregional I-O tables randomly. From the simulation, analyses based on probability distributions and regression were also carried out. Finally, these simulation results have been compared with those of an empirical case. Results confirm that there is actually a range of values of δ within which the best δ is more likely to fall. For the FLQ, this range is centred on 0.3 with an associated probability of 33% (if the width of the range is set at 0.1), whereas, for the AFLQ, the relevant range is between 0.3 and 0.4 with a probability by 38%. Finally, this paper provided a way to estimate the best δ for a given region, without knowing the relevant and detailed economic structure at sectoral level.
Keywords:Non-survey techniques  Input–output matrices  Monte Carlo simulation
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