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Do green financial policies offset the climate transition risk penalty imposed on long-term sovereign bond yields?
Institution:1. The World Bank, United States;2. Fox International Fellow, Yale University, United States;3. Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore
Abstract:Asset valuations in high-carbon sectors face significant corrections due to climate risks. This paper specifically analyses whether markets impose a penalty on long-term sovereign bonds issued by countries facing higher climate-related transition risk while rewarding those that have implemented green financial policies to mitigate these risks. We find that higher carbon dioxide emissions and a lower sustainable development score (both proxies for transition risks) lead to an increase in long-term sovereign bond yields. However, the presence of green financial policies appears to offset this climate transition risk premium.
Keywords:Green finance  Transition risks  Sovereign bonds  Bond yields  Green financial policies
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