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Institutional investor information network,analyst forecasting and stock price crash risk
Institution:1. School of Economics, Qingdao University, Qingdao, China;2. Laboratory of Computation and Analytics of Complex Management Systems, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China;3. School of Accounting, Finance and Economics, University of Portsmouth, England, United Kingdom
Abstract:In this paper, we construct the information network of fund investors based on the theory of social relationship networks and examine its impact of fund information sharing with analysts on stock price crash risk. Our results show that private information sharing among institutional investors reduces crash risk. Further results show that fund information sharing can alleviate analyst optimism bias and improve analyst forecast accuracy, which further reduces stock price crash risk. Moreover, these identified effects are more pronounced in a bull market than a bear market. Our study contributes to the research on private information transmission in fund information networks, and provides a new perspective for recognizing the relationships among institutional investor behavior, analyst forecasting, and stock price crash risk.
Keywords:Fund information network  Analyst optimism bias  Information sharing  Crash risk
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