从关联产业间的周期关系看钢铁行业的荣衰变化——又到学习“邯钢经验”时

钢铁产业正进入高成本与低收入的困难时期,因此,前些年在高收入与低成本所造成的繁荣时期而被冷落的注重成本管理的“邯钢经验”又将会成为钢铁行业普遍重视的对象。这种情况是由钢铁行业与其上下游行业及国民经济的周期关系决定的。市场经济的基本矛盾和作用机制,使得决定利润率变化的各种性质不同的价格组合,一方面在每个产业内部都具有时间上的继起性,由此决定了每个部门周期的必然性,另一方面在存在着投入产出关系的各产业之间具有空间上的并存性和时间上的继起性,这决定了它们之间的周期关系是不完全同步的,因此,在任何时候都会出现“繁荣中的萧条”与“萧条中的繁荣”现象。不同部门之间既有差异但又具有较高同步性的周期关系,则决定着宏观经济的周期运动。宏观周期同样是由微观机制决定的。

Analyzing the Growing and Withering of Steel Industry from the Periodic Relationship among Related Industries--It is time to learn from Hangang Experience again

The steel industry is stepping into a difficult period with high cost and low profit. So the Hangang Experience will be emphasized again which was neglected in the prosperous period of high profit and low cost several years ago. This is determined by its close relationship with the related up- and lower-stream industries and periodic development of national economy. Under the basic contradiction and mechanism of market economy, industries develop one after another, which determines the time sequence of their development. So we have some recession in a boom and some boom in a recession in the economy. Different industries develop at different times but they also have high synchronization relationship. This determines the periodic movement of national economy and this macro periodic development is also determined by micro mechanism.