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财政支出对我国农业增长的多途径影响
引用本文:龚斌磊,王硕. 财政支出对我国农业增长的多途径影响[J]. 农业经济问题, 2021, 0(1): 54-68
作者姓名:龚斌磊  王硕
作者单位:浙江大学中国农村发展研究院,杭州,310058;浙江大学中国农村发展研究院,杭州,310058
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71903172);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(编号:18YJC790034);浙江省软科学研究计划重点项目(编号:2020C25020);钱江人才计划和浙江大学中央基本科研业务费专项资金科研创新发展专项
摘    要:本文采用变系数生产模型,将全要素生产率中涉及各生产要素质量提升的部分剥离,从而识别财政支出通过不同途径影响农业增长的内在机制,并利用省级面板数据(1978-2015年31个省份)和县级面板数据(1993-2010年2495个县),从宏观和中观视角实证考察和比较了各改革阶段财政支出通过不同途径对农业产出的影响及其长期总体...

关 键 词:财政支出  农业增长  随机前沿分析  农业全要素生产率  农业改革

The Multi-channel Effects of Fiscal Expenditure on China's Agricultural Growth
GONG Binlei,WANG Shuo. The Multi-channel Effects of Fiscal Expenditure on China's Agricultural Growth[J]. Problems of Agricultural Economy, 2021, 0(1): 54-68
Authors:GONG Binlei  WANG Shuo
Abstract:This article builds a model to identify the different channels through which fiscal expenditure affect agricultural output.Using panel data of 31 provinces from 1978 to 2015 and panel data of 2495 counties from 1993 to 2010,this article estimates and compares the multi-effect of fiscal expenditure across different reform periods and its long term returns.The empirical results show that one unit increase in fiscal expenditure can increase current period output by 0.4 units,where half of the increase is due to input-free productivity growth and the rest is through quality improvement in fertilizer and machinery.Moreover,the long term returns of fiscal expenditure in agriculture are 250%.Fiscal expenditure is a valid economic driver that can boost agricultural growth in China.
Keywords:Fiscal expenditure  Agricultural growth  Stochastic frontier analysis  Agricultural total factor productivity  Agricultural and rural reforms
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