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RT Delphi: An efficient, “round-less” almost real time Delphi method
Authors:Theodore Gordon [Author Vitae]  Adam Pease [Author Vitae]
Affiliation:a 1 Smilax Drive, Old Lyme CT 06371, United States
b Articulate Software, San Francisco, CA, United States
Abstract:The authors have recently developed a new approach to performing a Delphi study that does not involve the use of sequential “rounds” and as a result, greatly improves the efficiency of the process and shortens the time to perform such studies. This paper describes this process, RT Delphi, and illustrates its use in a decision-making application drawn from the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University. The illustrative application involves setting priorities among strategies for dealing with anticipated terrorist activities that might be initiated by a single deranged individual.
Keywords:Delphi   Ontology   Artificial intelligence   Futures methodology   Futures research   Foresight   Conference room Delphi   Real time Delphi   Natural language processing   Decision making   Real time decision making   Policy research   Experts studies   Roundless Delphi   On line Delphi   Millenium Project
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