中国高技术产业的时空演变

本文利用Theil指数与Moran指数对我国高技术产业1995～2008年31省(自治区、直辖市)总产值数据进行分析,发现我国的高技术产业空间分布的不均衡性逐年加剧,并且空间依赖性程度也是随着时间的发展而加强。再将Theil指数分解为组内差异与组间差异,发现东、中、西地区的组间差异正占据主要地位。同时2008年我国31个省(自治区、直辖市)高技术产业总产值Moran散点图表现出各省(自治区、直辖市)的强烈正相关性,即空间依赖性。

China high technology industry's space evolution

By analyzing the Theil index and Moran index of the gross product data from 1995 to 2008 within 31 provinces in China,we find that the unbalance of high-tech industry spatial distribution is more and more obvious by years,as well as the spatial dependence.Then dividing Theil index into the differences among groups and in group,we figure out that the difference among East,Middle and West is taking the leading role.At the same time,great relevance was showed by the index of Poincare graphics of high-tech gross product of our 31 provinces in 2008.That＇s the spatial dependence.