沿海三大经济圈生产率的比较分析——基于修正的新古典增长模型

本文对新古典增长模型的最新扩展和修正进行了剖析;然后以此为工具,对京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区的生产率及其决定因素进行了比较分析。结果表明,人均资本存量的提高、未具体化的技术进步是推动三大经济圈生产率提高的最基本因素,而已具体化的技术进步对生产率的促进作用并不显著;京津冀和长三角地区的人力资本优势更明显,而珠三角地区的制度环境优势更为突出。据此,本文对三大经济圈、乃至全国如何保持经济的快速增长势头提出了政策建议。

Coastal three large economy circle productivity's comparison analysis——new classical growth mode based on revolution

This paper analyses the latest expansion and correction of the western classic neo-classical growth model;then based on the new model,it compares and analyses the productivity and the determinant of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta.The result shows that,the improve of the capital per person and the un-concretized technology progress are the most basic factors to promote the three coastal economic circles＇ productivity,but the concretized technology progress＇s promoting effect on productivity is not significant;the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Yangtze river delta regions＇ human capital advantages are more obvious,and the pearl river delta region＇s system environment advantage is more outstanding.According to these,the paper puts forward policy suggestions about the three circles＇economic growth,and even the whole country to keep economic momentum.