| 浙江省区域物流与经济增长的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈志良.浙江省区域物流与经济增长的实证研究[J].物流科技,2014(2):50-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈志良 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江医药高等专科学校,浙江宁波315100 |
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| 基金项目： | 浙江省教育厅教育技术规划重点课题项目,项目编号：JA031; 浙江医药高等专科学校科研基金项目,项目编号：ZPCSR2012020 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于浙江省1990~2012年统计数据,运用ADL模型及格兰杰因果检验对浙江省区域物流与经济增长的相互关系进行了研究。结果表明:从长期来看,浙江省GDP、全社会货物周转量及港口货物吞吐量三者之间存在着单向的因果关系。港口货物吞吐量是全社会货物周转量增加的格兰杰原因,全社会货物周转量和港口货物吞吐量平均每增长1%,分别带动浙江省GDP增长0.8672%和0.9903%。
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| 关 键 词： | ADL模型 格兰杰因果检验 区域物流 经济增长 实证研究 |
An Empirical Study on the Relationship Between Regional Logistics and Economic Growth in Zhejiang Province |
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| CHEN Zhi-liang.An Empirical Study on the Relationship Between Regional Logistics and Economic Growth in Zhejiang Province[J].Logistics Management,2014(2):50-53. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Zhi-liang |
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| Institution: | CHEN Zhi-liang (Zhejiang Pharmaceutical College, Ningbo 315100, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data of the years from 1990 to 2012 in Zhejiang province, this paper analyzes the long-term correlation between economic growth and regional logistics by the ADL model and Granger causality test. The result indicates that there is only one-way output Granger causality among PCT, TCT and GDP in the long term. TCT is the Granger cause of PCT. When TCT and PCT increases 1% in Zhejiang province, GDP will increase 0.8672% and 0.9903%, respectively. |
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| Keywords: | ADL model Granger causality test regional lo-gistics economic growth empirical study |
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